2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary

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2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary

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50 Republican National Convention delegates
 
Candidate Donald Trump Nikki Haley
Home state Florida South Carolina
Delegate count 47 3
Popular vote 451,905 298,674
Percentage 59.8% 39.5%

The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a selection basis.[2]

Held following the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary, the Nevada primary and caucuses, and the United States Virgin Islands caucuses, the South Carolina primary was the fifth Republican contest in which delegates were awarded to take place this election.[3] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties.[4]

Nikki Haley, who served as Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, announced her presidential candidacy in February 2023. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, entered the race with a campaign announcement in May 2023.[5] He suspended his campaign on November 12, 2023[6] and endorsed Trump on January 19, 2024.[7]

Immediately after polls closed at 7:00pm EST, multiple media outlets called the primary for Trump.[8][9] Trump received the highest number of votes of any candidate for either party in the history of the South Carolina primaries, breaking the record previously held by George W. Bush in 2000.[8][9]

Background[edit]

The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of evangelical voters.[10] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters.[11]

In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with the nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%.[12]

Procedure[edit]

29 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. Each of the state's seven congressional districts are awarded three delegates. The candidate with the highest vote total in each congressional district are awarded that district's delegates.

Candidates[edit]

The following 10 candidates had filed by the end of the filing period on October 31, 2023 and secured ballot access.[13]

Endorsements[edit]

Nikki Haley
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Mayors
Former party official
Donald Trump
Former federal executive officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governor
State executive officials
State senator
State representatives
Notable individuals

Withdrawn candidates[edit]

Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Former federal executive official
State senators
State representatives
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Former U.S. Representative
Former governor
State senators
State representatives
Mayor

Maps[edit]

Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina House of Representatives.
  Endorsed Donald Trump (61)
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (4) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (4)
  Endorsed Tim Scott (2) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (17)
  Non-Republicans (36)
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina Senate.
  Endorsed Donald Trump (7)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (5)
  Endorsed Tim Scott (4) (withdrawn)
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)
  No endorsement (13)
  Non-Republicans (16)

Polling[edit]

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[a]
Margin
270toWin February 16–20, 2024 February 21, 2024 34.6% 61.6% 3.8% Trump +27.0
FiveThirtyEight through February 23, 2024 February 24, 2024 34.0% 61.6% 4.4% Trump +27.6
RealClearPolling February 14, 2024 – February 23, 2024 February 23, 2024 37.5% 60.8% 1.7% Trump +23.3
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group Feb 21–23, 2024 1093 (LV) ± 2.9% 37.5% 58.9% 3.6%[c]
Suffolk University/USA Today Feb 15–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 35% 63% 2%[d]
Emerson College/The Hill Feb 15–17, 2024 1197 (LV) ± 2.8% 35.4% 57.9% 6.7%
Insider Advantage Feb 14–15, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.9% 38% 60% 1% 1%
Trafalgar Group Feb 13–15, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 33.6% 63.3% 3%
The Citadel Feb 5–11, 2024 505 (LV) ± 5.7% 31% 64% 3% 2%
Winthrop University Feb 2–10, 2024 749 (LV) ± 3.6% 28.7% 64.9% 3.3% 2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University Jan 26–30, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.9% 32% 58% 2% 8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Jan 28–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 31% 66% 4%
The Tyson Group/The American Promise Jan 24–26, 2024 543 (LV) ± 4.4% 31% 58% 11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Jan 17–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 28% 68% 4%
Emerson College Jan 2–3, 2024 584 (LV) ± 4.0% 4.8% 6.6% 25.1% 0.2% 3.1% 54.4% 1.9%
Trafalgar Group Dec 6–8, 2023 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 5.8% 14.4% 22.8% 0.3% 6.1% 48.7% 1.9%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 856 (LV) 0% 2% 13% 19% 3% 7% 57%
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research Nov 4–12, 2023 780 (RV) ± 3.51% 0.3% 1.6% 12.5% 18.7% 0.4% 3.4% 10.6% 47.6% 2.1%[e] 2.7%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 927 (LV) 0% 1% 11% 15% 0% 3% 6% 7% 58%
CNN/SSRS Oct 18–25, 2023 738 (LV) ± 4.8% 0% 2% 11% 22% 0%[f] 2% 1% 6% 53% 0%[g] 1%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 854 (LV) 1% 10% 13% 0% 3% 6% 7% 59% 0%[h] 1%
Fox Business Sep 14–18, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 4% 10% 18% 1% 4% 5% 9% 46% 1%[i] 3%
Washington Post/Monmouth University Sep 6–11, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.6% 0% 5% 9% 18% 2% 3% 3% 10% 46% 1%[j] 4%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 910 (LV) 1% 14% 11% 0% 4% 8% 7% 55% 0%[h]
Trafalgar Group (R) Aug 17–19, 2023 1,054 (LV) ± 2.9% 0% 2% 14% 8% 0% 2% 6% 14% 48% 0%[k] 1%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 907 (LV) 0% 1% 15% 12% 1% 3% 6% 7% 54% 0%[l] 1%
Fox Business Jul 15–19, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 2% 13% 14% 1% 4% 3% 10% 48% [m] 4%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 907 (LV) 0% 1% 20% 12% 0% 4% 3% 10% 48% 1%[n] 1%
National Public Affairs Jun 20–21, 2023 809 (LV) 1% 5% 18% 12% 2% 2% 2% 10% 41% 6%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 875 (LV) 19% 13% 0% 4% 3% 7% 52% 1%[o] 1%
National Research[A] May 24–25, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 18% 10% 1% 1% 1% 12% 43% 1%[p] 13%
National Public Affairs May 15–17, 2023 590 (LV) ± 4.0% 23% 15% 3% 2% 2% 10% 38% 8%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 810 (LV) 17% 17% 0% 5% 1% 4% 52% 3%[q] 1%
National Public Affairs Apr 11–14, 2023 588 (LV) ± 4.2% 21% 19% 1% 2% 1% 7% 43% 1%[r] 6%
Winthrop University Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 485 (RV) ± 4.6% 20% 18% 0% 5% 7% 41% 5%[s] 4%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 806 (LV) 22% 15% 5% 0% 4% 49% 3%[t] 2%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 689 (LV) 24% 18% 5% 7% 43% 4%[u]
Neighbourhood Research and Media[B] Feb 7–14, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.9% 22% 16% 2% 2% 35% 23%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 974 (LV) 31% 14% 2% 5% 45% 2%[v] 1%
Trafalgar Group Jan 24–26, 2023 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 33% 6% 52% 9%[w]
21% 3% 23% 48% 5%[x]
29% 22% 4% 43% 2%[y]
28% 12% 2% 14% 43% 1%[z]
Moore Information Jan 18–24, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.0% 31% 12% 4% 5% 41% 7%
29% 62% 9%
42% 49% 15%
Spry Strategies Jan 17–19, 2023 386 (LV) 52% 33% 15%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 530 (LV) 28% 13% 4% 5% 44% 6%[aa]
Winthrop University Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 1,298 (A) ± 2.8% 37% 45% 19%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 294 (LV) ± 5.1% 33% 58% 9%
Trafalgar Group Mar 25–29, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 3.0% 64% 11%[ab] 25%[ac]

Results[edit]

South Carolina Republican primary, February 24, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 451,905 59.8% 47 47
Nikki Haley 298,681 39.5% 3 3
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 2,951 0.4%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 726 0.1%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 657 0.1%
Ryan Binkley 527 0.1%
David Stuckenberg 360 <0.1%
Total: 755,807 100.00% 50 0 50
Source: "10 Republicans will be on SC's presidential primary — but not Asa Hutchinson". The Post and Courier. Retrieved December 6, 2023.

Results by congressional district[edit]

Trump won 6 of the 7 congressional districts.

District Trump Haley
1st 46.8% 52.5%
2nd 55.5% 43.8%
3rd 67.5% 31.8%
4th 59.6% 39.5%
5th 65.5% 33.9%
6th 53.7% 45.6%
7th 67.8% 31.7%
Source: "Election Night Reporting". Retrieved February 25, 2024.

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Listed as undecided and other
  4. ^ Listed as undecided/other
  5. ^ Someone Else with 1.5%; Refused with 0.6%
  6. ^ No voters
  7. ^ Perry Johnson & Someone Else with 0%; Larry Elder with no voters
  8. ^ a b Will Hurd with 0%
  9. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & Perry Johnson with less than 0.5%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  11. ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Pery Johnson, Francis Suarez and Ryan Binkley with 0%
  12. ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
  13. ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Francis Suarez, "Other" and "None of the above" with <0.5%
  14. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  15. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  16. ^ Chris Sununu with 1%
  17. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  18. ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  19. ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
  20. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  21. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz with 1%
  22. ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  23. ^ Mike Pompeo with 9%
  24. ^ Mike Pompeo with 5%
  25. ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%
  26. ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  27. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  28. ^ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
  29. ^ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC

References[edit]

  1. ^ Lopez, Ashley (February 24, 2024). "Voting in South Carolina's all-important Republican presidential primary ends today". NPR. Retrieved February 24, 2024.
  2. ^ "South Carolina Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  3. ^ Birenbaum, Gabby (February 25, 2023). "One year out, Republicans preview how Nevadans will land on presidential nomination". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  4. ^ "5 Things to Watch in South Carolina's Republican Primary". ABC News. February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2016.
  5. ^ Kraushaar, Josh (February 19, 2023). "South Carolina's Nikki Haley and Tim Scott on collision course in 2024 presidential race". Axios. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  6. ^ Kinnard, Meg (November 14, 2023). "South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott abruptly ends 2024 presidential bid, shocking even his campaign staff". Associated Press. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  7. ^ Holmes, Kristen; Atwood, Kylie; Zanona, Melanie; Sullivan, Kate (January 20, 2024). "Sen. Tim Scott endorses Trump in New Hampshire amid full-court press against Haley". CNN. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
  8. ^ a b "Trump is projected to win South Carolina". abcnews.go.com. ABC News. Retrieved February 25, 2024.
  9. ^ a b "South Carolina Presidential Primary Results". Associated Press. Retrieved February 24, 2024.
  10. ^ "South Carolina's Key Role in the Presidential Race". U.S. News & World Report. February 17, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2016.
  11. ^ Rutenberg, Jim (January 22, 2012). "Gingrich Wins South Carolina Primary, Upending G.O.P. Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  12. ^ Lipka, Michael (February 25, 2016). "A closer look at religion in the Super Tuesday states". Pew Research Center. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
  13. ^ Byrd, Caitlin (October 31, 2023). "10 Republicans will be on SC's presidential primary — but not Asa Hutchinson". The Post and Courier. Retrieved November 4, 2023.
  14. ^ Kenmore, Abraham (January 8, 2024). "2 presidential candidates tossed off SC ballots sue. One wants Trump off too". States Newsroom. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
  15. ^ Vakil, Caroline (November 12, 2023). "Tim Scott suspends 2024 GOP primary bid". The Hill. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  16. ^ Manchester, Julia (December 4, 2023). "Burgum suspends 2024 GOP presidential campaign". The Hill. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
  17. ^ Kashinsky, Lisa; McGraw, Meridith (January 10, 2024). "Christie ends his anti-Trump crusade". Politico. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  18. ^ Hernández, Alec; Dixon, Matt; Burns, Dasha; Allen, Jonathan (January 21, 2024). "Ron DeSantis suspends his presidential bid and endorses Trump". NBC News. Retrieved January 21, 2024.
  19. ^ Laco, Kelly (February 15, 2023). "Nikki Haley endorsed by top Trump ally Ralph Norman who says GOP needs 'new leadership'". Fox News. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  20. ^ a b c d e Brams, Sophie (December 14, 2023). "Nikki Haley secures endorsements from several former Tim Scott backers in South Carolina". WCBD News 2. Retrieved December 20, 2023.
  21. ^ a b c d Bustos, Joseph (April 6, 2023). "SC's Haley returns to Lexington County for presidential campaign rally". The State. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
  22. ^ Davis, Tom (July 6, 2023). "Commentary: Nikki Haley is the outsider America needs". The Post and Courier. Retrieved July 6, 2023.
  23. ^ Christian, Matthew (December 19, 2023). "'She's the best choice': Aiken County Rep. Bart Blackwell endorses Nikki Haley". Aiken Standard. Retrieved December 20, 2023.
  24. ^ Duncan, Chase (March 13, 2023). "2024 presidential candidate Nikki Haley visits Myrtle Beach, talks solutions". MyHorryNews. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  25. ^ Morris, Kyle (February 11, 2023). "Nikki Haley not to be 'underestimated' in bid for president, former South Carolina GOP officials say". Fox News. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  26. ^ a b c Schecter, Maayan (November 16, 2022). "Some SC Republicans already stand behind Trump 2024. Others? Not so fast". The State. Retrieved March 15, 2023.
  27. ^ a b c d Vaughan, Crysty (January 28, 2023). "Donald Trump names SC Leadership team during visit to State House". ABC 25 Columbia. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  28. ^ Byrd, Caitlin (November 16, 2022). "Donald Trump endorsed by SC Gov. Henry McMaster. Nikki Haley, Tim Scott still watching 2024". The Post and Courier. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  29. ^ a b Orr, Gabby; Sullivan, Kate; Holmes, Kristen (January 27, 2023). "Trump will hit the trail looking to reinvigorate his campaign". CNN. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  30. ^ Vakil, Caroline (January 19, 2024). "Trump nabs Scott endorsement: 'We need a president who will unite our country'". The Hill. Retrieved January 19, 2024.
  31. ^ a b c Bycoffe, Aaron; Mejía, Elena; Radcliffe, Mary; Burton, Cooper; Groskopf, Christopher; Newman, Alex; Mangan, Andrew; Sweedler, Maya (April 24, 2023). "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
  32. ^ Rubin, Olivia; Ibssa, Lalee (January 28, 2023). "Trump says he's 'more committed' than ever as he holds first 2024 campaign events". ABC News. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  33. ^ a b c d e f Jurado, Alex; Bustos, Joseph (November 25, 2023). "Trump arrives to fanfare at Williams-Brice Stadium for USC-Clemson football game". The State. Retrieved November 25, 2023.
  34. ^ Schechter, Maayan (January 28, 2023). "Live updates: Handful of state lawmakers present for Trump campaign event at SC State House". The State. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  35. ^ a b c d e f g Ashworth, Nate (July 1, 2023). "Full Video: Trump Rally Independence Day Celebration in Pickens, South Carolina (July 1)". Election Central. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  36. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Caputo, Marc (September 25, 2023). "Trump Unveils More Top South Carolina Backers in 'Crazy' Show of Support (Exclusive)". The Messenger. Archived from the original on September 25, 2023. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  37. ^ Sockol, Matthew (August 6, 2023). "South Carolina Speaker of the House endorses Trump". WLOS.
  38. ^ Wingfield, Mark (December 8, 2022). "While many evangelical leaders are wary of Trump's 2024 run, this Oklahoma pastor has launched a fan club". Baptist News Global. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  39. ^ Dickinson, Tim; McCann Ramirez, Nikki (November 28, 2022). "Trump Isn't MAGA Enough Anymore, Say Kanye-Curious Extremists". Rolling Stone. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  40. ^ Isenstadt, Alex (February 25, 2023). "Longtime Trump backers flock to DeSantis event". Politico. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  41. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Nerozzi, Timothy (June 22, 2023). "DeSantis Endorsed by 15 South Carolina Lawmakers". Fox News. Retrieved June 22, 2023.
  42. ^ "DeSantis Is the 'Only' Candidate That Combatted the Weaponization of Government: Sen. Josh Kimbrell". Fox News. June 10, 2023. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
  43. ^ Christian, Matthew (June 8, 2023). "North Augusta's Rep. Bill Hixon Endorses Ron DeSantis". The Post and Courier. Retrieved June 8, 2023.
  44. ^ Schorsch, Peter (November 17, 2023). "Hand me downs: Ron DeSantis lands 10 former Tim Scott endorsers". Florida Politics.
  45. ^ Laird, Skyler; Kukulich, Tony (June 2, 2023). "DeSantis Positions Himself to Wage War on 'Wokeness' During First SC Stop as Candidate". The Post and Courier. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
  46. ^ a b Reagan, Nick (June 2, 2023). "Florida Gov. DeSantis Makes Presidential Campaign Stop in Bluffton". WCSC-TV. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
  47. ^ a b c d Kinnard, Meg (June 12, 2023). "Scott rolls out dozens of South Carolina lawmakers and local leaders endorsing his presidential bid". Associated Press. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
  48. ^ Allison, Natalie (May 22, 2023). "Tim Scott's keys to 2024: Iowa, evangelicals and piles of cash". Politico. Retrieved May 22, 2023.
  49. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v FOX Carolina News Staff (June 12, 2023). "Sen. Tim Scott in Spartanburg to announce campaign endorsements". FOX Carolina. Retrieved June 12, 2023.

External links[edit]