2024 Michigan Republican presidential nominating contests
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The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucuses are set to be held on February 27, 2024, and March 2, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 55 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional and winner-take-most basis.[1] The primary will take place concurrently with its Democratic counterpart.
Background[edit]
In the 2016 Michigan Republican presidential primary, Donald Trump won with 36.5% of the vote, carrying 25 out of 59 delegates total. His closest opponents, Governor of Ohio John Kasich and Senator from Texas Ted Cruz, received 24.9% and 24.3% of the vote, respectively, with both candidates receiving 17 delegates.[2]
Schedule[edit]
In February 2023, Governor Gretchen Whitmer signed legislation to move up the date of both the Democratic and Republican presidential primaries in Michigan to February 27, 2024, in line with the Democratic National Committee's (DNC) state reorganization plan.[3]
The date violated Republican Party Rule 16(c)(1), which prohibits any state/territory except Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, from holding their primary/caucus until March 1, 2024, violating any other state/territory by stripping 80% of its delegates at the Republican National Convention.
In response, in June 2023, the Michigan Republican Party passed a resolution of intent that would allocate 16 delegates based on the results of the February 27 primary and 39 delegates based on the results of caucuses in each of the state's 13 congressional districts on March 2.[4]
The convention held by the faction of the Michigan Republican Party recognized by the Republican National Committee led by Pete Hoekstra will be in Grand Rapids at the Amway Grand Plaza Hotel on March 2,[5] while the faction of the Michigan Republican Party led by Kristina Karamo will hold their convention in Detroit at Huntington Place on the same day.[6] While media is invited to the Karamo caucus, it will be closed to the public.[7] The RNC has indicated that only the delegates from the Hoekstra-led convention will be seated for the 2024 Republican National Convention.[8]
Primary candidates[edit]
The Michigan Secretary of State has identified the following candidates, listed alphabetically, as potential Republican Party presidential candidates in 2024:[9]
- Ryan Binkley
- Chris Christie (withdrawn)
- Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
- Nikki Haley
- Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
- Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
- Donald Trump
Endorsements[edit]
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
- State senators
- Aric Nesbitt, District 20 (2023–present) and District 26 (2019–2022); Minority Leader (2023–present)[10]
- Michael Webber, District 9 (2023–present)[11][better source needed]
- Joe Bellino, District 16 (2023–present)[11][better source needed]
- Lana Theis, District 22 (2019–present)[11][better source needed]
- Dan Lauwers, District 25 (2019–present)[11][better source needed]
- Kevin Daley, District 26 (2023–present) and District 31 (2019–2022)[11][better source needed]
- State representatives
- William Bruck, District 30 (2023–present)[12]
- Mike Mueller, District 51 (2019–2022) and District 72 (2023–present)[12]
- Mike Harris, District 52 (2022–present)[12]
- Donni Steele, District 54 (2023–present)[12]
- Alicia St. Germaine, District 62 (2023–present)[12]
- Jaime Greene, District 65 (2023–present)[12]
- Pat Outman, District 70 (2021–2022) and District 91 (2023–present)[12]
- Brian BeGole, District 71 (2023–present)[12]
- Bryan Posthumus, District 73 (2021–2022) and District 90 (2023–present)[13]
- Brad Paquette, District 78 (2019–present)[12]
- Phil Green, Michigan State Representative from District 84 (2019–2022) and District 67 (2023–present)[13]
- Luke Meerman, District 88 (2019–present)[12]
- Jerry Neyer, District 92 (2023–present)[12]
- Tom Leonard, District 93 (2013–2019); Republican nominee for Attorney General in 2018[14]
- Timothy Beson, District 96 (2021–present)[12]
- Matthew Bierlein, District 97 (2023–present)[12]
- Gregory S. Alexander, District 98 (2023–present)[12]
- Tom Kunse, Michigan State Representative from District 100 (2023–present)[12]
- Curt VanderWall, District 101 (2017–2018) and District 102 (2023–present)[12]
- John Roth, District 104 (2021–present)[12]
Nikki Haley
- Newspapers
- The Detroit News (co-endorsement with Dean Phillips)[15]
Perry Johnson (withdrawn)
- Former federal official
- Pete Hoekstra, U.S. Ambassador to the Netherlands (2018–2021); U.S. Representative from MI-02 (1993–2011); Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[16]
Donald Trump
- U.S. Representatives
- Kerry Bentivolio, MI-11 (2013–2015)[17]
- Jack Bergman, MI-01 (2017–present)[18]
- Bill Huizenga, MI-04 (2023–present) and MI-02 (2011–2023)[18]
- John James, MI-10 (2023-present)[18]
- Lisa McClain, MI-09 (2023–present) and MI-10 (2021–2023); Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2023–present)[19]
- John Moolenaar, MI-02 (2023–present) and MI-04 (2015–2023)[18]
- Mike Rogers, MI-08 (2001–2015) and Republican candidate for U.S. Senator from Michigan in 2024[20]
- Tim Walberg, MI-05 (2023–present) and MI-07 (2011–2023, 2007–2009)[18]
- State senator
- Jim Runestad, Member of the Michigan Senate from the 23rd district (2023–present) and the 15th district (2019–2022)[21]
- State representatives
- Bob Bezotte, District 50 (2023–present) and District 47 (2021–2023)[22]
- Steve Carra, District 36 (2023–present) and District 59 (2021–2023)[22]
- Matt Maddock, District 59 (2023–present) and District 44 (2019–2023)[22]
- Former party official
- Meshawn Maddock, co-chair of the Michigan Republican Party (2019–2023)[23]
- Former local official
- James Craig, Chief of the Detroit Police Department (2013–2021)[24]
- Individuals
- Perry Johnson, candidate for governor in 2022 and withdrawn candidate for president in 2024[25]
Maps[edit]
Endorsed Ron DeSantis (19)
Endorsed Donald Trump (3)
No endorsement (32)
Polling[edit]
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | through February 4, 2024 | February 26, 2024 | 21.8% | 78.7% | - | Trump +56.9 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Will Hurd |
Asa Hutchinson |
Perry Johnson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College/The Hill | Feb 20–24, 2024 | 486 (LV) | ±3% | – | – | – | 20.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 69.2% | – | 10.5% |
| Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS) | Jan 4–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ±4% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | 53% | – | 6% |
| CNN/SSRS | Nov 30 – Dec 7, 2023 | 618 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 13% | – | 1% | – | – | 4% | – | 58% | 1% | 3% |
| Morning Consult | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,348 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 13% | 10% | – | 0% | – | – | 8% | 1% | 65% | – | – |
| Morning Consult | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,342 (LV) | – | 1% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 0% | – | 7% | 9% | 1% | 63% | – | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | Oct 9–10, 2023 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 6% | – | 0% | – | 2% | 3% | 0% | 63% | – | 8% |
| Morning Consult | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,238 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 12% | 6% | 0% | 0% | – | 7% | 10% | 1% | 58% | – | 2% |
| Susquehanna University | Sep 7–12, 2023 | 219 (LV) | – | 0% | 0% | 18% | 3% | – | 0% | – | 5% | 5% | 0% | 65% | – | – |
| Morning Consult | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,299 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% | 8% | 2% | 59% | 0%[c] | – |
| Emerson College | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 61% | 1% | 6% |
| Morning Consult | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,350 (LV) | – | – | 3% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 10% | 7% | 2% | 55% | – | 1% |
| Mitchell Research[A] | Jul 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 13% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 3% | – | 2% | 69% | – | 11% |
| Morning Consult | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,242 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 25% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 9% | 3% | 3% | 52% | 1%[d] | – |
| Morning Consult | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,354 (LV) | – | – | – | 25% | 2% | – | 1% | – | 9% | 5% | 1% | 53% | 5%[e] | 1% |
| Morning Consult | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,356 (LV) | – | – | – | 26% | 3% | – | 0% | – | 10% | 2% | 1% | 53% | 5%[f] | – |
| Morning Consult | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,378 (LV) | – | – | – | 30% | 3% | – | – | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 5%[g] | – |
| Morning Consult | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,232 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 4% | – | – | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 46% | 6%[h] | 1% |
| Echelon Insights | Feb 13–16, 2023 | 400 (V) | ± 6.0% | – | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 11% | – |
| Morning Consult | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,709 (LV) | – | – | – | 33% | 1% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 0% | 48% | 5%[i] | 3% |
| Morning Consult | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 909 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 1% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 0% | 50% | 7%[j] | – |
| Glengariff Group | Jul 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | 13% | – |
Results[edit]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | |||||
| Nikki Haley | |||||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | |||||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | |||||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | |||||
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | |||||
| Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | |||||
| Total: | 100.00% | 55 | 0 | 55 | |
| Source: "Secretary Benson releases 2024 presidential primary candidate list". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2023. | |||||
See also[edit]
- 2024 Michigan Democratic presidential primary
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan
- 2024 United States elections
Notes[edit]
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Glenn Youngkin, Greg Abbott, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll commissioned by MIRS
References[edit]
- ^ "Michigan Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- ^ "Michigan Primary Election Results 2016". The New York Times. September 29, 2016. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- ^ Robinson, Samuel (February 3, 2023). "Michigan Democrats move up presidential primary without GOP support". Axios. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- ^ Egan, Paul (June 12, 2023). "New presidential delegate system sparks dispute among Michigan Republicans". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved December 27, 2023.
- ^ Egan, Paul (February 21, 2024). "Sparring GOP factions now plan 2 conventions at opposite ends of state". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
- ^ Spangler, Todd; Egan, Paul (February 19, 2024). "Michigan Republicans to hold presidential nominating convention at Huntington Place". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
- ^ Schuster, Simon (January 18, 2024). "Michigan Republicans plan March 2 presidential caucus in Detroit". mlive.
- ^ King, Jon (February 23, 2024). "Court ruling on MIGOP chair dispute expected next week". Michigan Advance.
- ^ "2024 Michigan Official Presidential Primary Candidate Listing - 02/27/2024". mielections.us.
- ^ "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight. April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e Oosting, Jonathan [@jonathanoosting] (April 6, 2023). "Ron DeSantis secures some Michigan endorsements for president, according to supporting super PAC: State Senate Minority Leader Aric Nesbitt, Sens. Lana Theis, Michael Webber, Kevin Daley, Dan Lauwers and Joe Bellino, state Rep. Bryan Posthumus, former House Speaker Tom Leonard" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2023 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q "DeSantis is the Future - Never Back Down". neverbackdown.org. April 27, 2023.
- ^ a b Isenstadt, Alex (January 18, 2023). "Top Michigan Republicans move to draft DeSantis for 2024". Politico. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- ^ LeBlanc, Beth (April 6, 2023). "DeSantis lays out Florida as blueprint for Republican success in Michigan speech". The Detroit News. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ^ "Our endorsement for the Michigan Democratic primary". The Detroit News. Retrieved February 10, 2024.
- ^ Gomez, Henry J. (March 2, 2023). "Michigan Businessman uses CPAC to launch Presidential Bid'". NBC News. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- ^ https://facebook.com/profile/100004403986580/search/?q=Trump%20has%20my%20vote!%20Publicity%20worth%20millions
- ^ a b c d e Singman, Brooke (July 11, 2023). "Trump wins 'clean sweep' of endorsements from Michigan's GOP congressional delegation". Fox News. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
- ^ Mauger, Craig (June 25, 2023). "Trump says push for electric vehicles will mean 'decimation' for Michigan's industry". The Detroit News. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
- ^ Finley, Nolan (January 8, 2024). "Finley: Mike Rogers to endorse Trump". The Detroit News. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
- ^ Oosting, Jonathan (September 23, 2023). "On Mackinac, Vivek Ramswamy steals Michigan GOP spotlight". Bridge Michigan. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
- ^ a b c Mauger, Craig; Leblanc, Beth (June 23, 2023). "As Donald Trump prepares for return to Michigan, cracks appear in his GOP support". The Detroit News. Retrieved June 23, 2023.
- ^ Mauger, Craig; Nann Burke, Melissa (November 16, 2022). "Muted Michigan GOP reaction to Trump's 3rd White House bid". The Detroit News. Retrieved March 18, 2023. (subscription required)
- ^ Lengel, Allan (September 1, 2023). "Ex-Detroit Police Chief James Craig Wants Trump For President In 2024". Deadline Detroit. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
- ^ Timotija, Filip (October 23, 2023). "Former GOP presidential candidate Perry Johnson endorses Trump". The Hill. Retrieved January 24, 2024.