2024 Indonesian presidential election

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2024 Indonesian presidential election
← 2019 14 February 2024 (2024-02-14) 2029 →
Opinion polls
Registered204,807,222 (Increase 2.41%)
Votes counted
77.38%
as of 26 February 2024, 23:00 WIB (UTC+07)[1]
 
Prabowo Subianto, Candidate for Indonesia's President in 2024.jpg
Anies Baswedan, Candidate for Indonesia's President in 2024.jpg
Ganjar Pranowo, Candidate for Indonesia's President in 2024.jpg
Candidate Prabowo Subianto Anies Baswedan Ganjar Pranowo
Party Gerindra Independent PDI-P
Alliance Advanced Indonesia[b] Change for Unity[c] Alliance of Parties[a]
Running mate Gibran Rakabuming Muhaimin Iskandar Mahfud MD
Incumbent President

Joko Widodo
PDI-P



This article is part of a series on the
Politics of
Indonesia
National government
Pancasila (national philosophy)
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Elections
  • Chairman Hasyim Asy'ari
Political parties
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The 2024 Indonesian presidential election (Indonesian: Pemilihan umum presiden 2024, abbreviated as Pilpres 2024) was the fifth general election in Indonesia in which voters elected a President and Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia. The direct election was conducted on 14 February 2024 to determine the holders of the office of president and vice president for the 2024‒2029 term. Incumbent president Joko Widodo was ineligible to run for a third term due to limitations set by the Indonesian Constitution.

This presidential election was held together with the legislative election for members of the House of Representatives (DPR RI), the Senate (DPD RI), and local legislative councils (DPRD Provinsi and DPRD Kabupaten or DPRD Kota) throughout Indonesia.

Background[edit]

2024 presidential election promotional logo

The 2014 and 2019 presidential elections were contested by the same two candidates. These are Prabowo Subianto, who was nominated by parties supporting the Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono administration, and Joko Widodo, who was mostly supported by the opposition and subsequently won.[2] Jokowi won reelection in 2019 by winning 55.5% of the votes.[3]

The President of Indonesia is directly elected every five years. As stipulated in Article 7 of the 1945 Constitution of the Republic of Indonesia, incumbent President Joko Widodo is ineligible to run for a third term. The presidential election was required to be held before the end of his current term on 20 October 2024.

In the 2019 election, Joko Widodo was re-elected with Ma'ruf Amin as his running mate. He chose his opponent in the election, Prabowo Subianto, as Minister of Defense after a reconciliation meeting in July 2019.[4][5] The meeting, which ended the political feud between both men, also resulted in Gerindra Party and the National Mandate Party (PAN) in joining the governing Onward Indonesia Coalition.[6]

Electoral system[edit]

The general election period is regulated in Article 6A and Article 22E of the Constitution of the Republic of Indonesia and by the Law on General Elections. The presidential and vice-presidential candidate pairs are proposed by political parties or coalitions of political parties that have at least 20% of the seats in the House of Representatives (DPR) or at least 25% of the national vote from the previous House of Representatives general election. Of the parties in the 2019-2014 DPR, only PDI-P could nominate a pair of candidates without a coalition with other parties, given that the party met the presidential threshold requirement of at least 115 seats in the outgoing DPR."[7][8] Some non-parliamentary political parties, both parties participating in the previous election and new parties after 2019, could choose to be supporting parties for a presidential candidate.[9]

A runoff is held if no candidates obtains more than 50% of the votes with at least 20% of the votes in more than half of the provinces in Indonesia in the first round. As of 2024, a runoff has only ever taken place in 2004. This election is the first election since 2009 to have more than two candidates.

Candidates[edit]

Ballot paper used on 14 February 2024

Nominees[edit]

Anies–Muhaimin[edit]

Main article: Coalition of Change for Unity

Former Governor of DKI Jakarta (2017‒2022) and Minister of Education and Culture (2014‒2016), Anies Baswedan, became the first presidential candidate nominated by a political party and managed to obtain a recommendation from the results of the national working meeting of the NasDem Party.[10] He was endorsed by the Coalition of Change, which included the NasDem Party, the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS), and the Democratic Party. At that time, PKS nominated former West Java Governor Ahmad Heryawan as Anies' vice presidential candidate.[11] Similarly, the Democratic Party nominated its chairman and rival in the 2017 gubernatorial election, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono.[12] Initially, Anies classed Agus' name as his running-mate.[13] Over time, the coalition experienced political dynamics with the departure of the Democrats in favour of Prabowo's candidacy after the entry of PKB from the Great Indonesia Awakening Coalition which supported Prabowo,[14] as the National Awakening Party (PKB) joined the Coalition of Change in support of Anies.[15] The PKB's entry was accompanied by an agreement to pair Anies with their chairman, Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives (DPR RI) (1999‒2009, and 2019‒present) and Minister of Labor and Transmigration (2009‒2014), Muhaimin Iskandar.[16] Previously, he had been proposed by his party, PKB, as a vice-presidential candidate for Joko Widodo in the previous general election. He was even predicted to be nominated as a presidential candidate if he was not chosen as Jokowi's running mate.[17]

1
2024 Coalition of Change ticket
Anies Baswedan Muhaimin Iskandar
for President for Vice President
Governor of DKI Jakarta (2017‒2022) Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives (DPR RI) (1999‒2009, 2019‒present)
Campaign

Prabowo–Gibran[edit]

Main article: Advanced Indonesia Coalition

Prabowo Subianto was nominated by the Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra) as the presidential candidate on 12 August 2022.[18] This was followed by two United Indonesia Coalition (KIB) member parties and non-parliamentary parties that became the forerunner of the Advanced Indonesia Coalition after the dissolution of the Great Indonesia Awakening Coalition with the National Awakening Party (PKB).[19] This will be Prabowo's fourth presidential run since he was Megawati Sukarnoputri's vice presidential candidate in 2009. He is backed by the two KIB member parties, Golkar and PAN, as well as the non-parliamentary parties that formed the Advanced Indonesia Coalition after the dissolution of the Great Indonesia Awakening Coalition with PKB.[19] The Democratic Party[20] and the Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI) joined later.[21] PSI's support for Prabowo came after the appointment of Kaesang Pangarep, Gibran's younger brother, as party chairman.

On 22 October 2023, President Joko Widodo's eldest son and Mayor of Surakarta, Gibran Rakabuming, was announced as a vice presidential candidate following a nomination by Golkar,[22] even though at that time of announcement, Gibran was still a member of the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P).[23] He is only 36 years old but was allowed to run after the Constitutional Court (MK RI) ruling on 16 October 2023 which allowed presidential or vice presidential candidates under the age of 40 if they have been or are currently serving as governor, regent, or mayor.[24] After his nomination, Gibran, who was a PDI-P cadre, had his membership terminated, followed by his brother-in-law who is also the Mayor of Medan since 2021, Bobby Nasution, after his declaration of support for Prabowo-Gibran.[25]

2
2024 Advanced Indonesia Coalition ticket
Prabowo Subianto Gibran Rakabuming Raka
for President for Vice President
Minister of Defense (2019–present) Mayor of Surakarta (2021–present)
Campaign

Ganjar–Mahfud[edit]

Main article: Alliance of Political Parties Supporting Ganjar Pranowo

The end of Joko Widodo's presidency in 2024 led the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) to search for a presidential candidate to replace him. Central Java Governor (2013‒2023) and former member of the House of Representatives (2004‒2013), Ganjar Pranowo, was nominated for president by PDI-P.[26] His name was announced by PDI-P Chair Megawati.[26] Previously, there were rumours of PDI-P's nomination of Puan Maharani to be paired with Prabowo as a vice presidential candidate.[27] Puan was eventually nominated by the party to become a legislative candidate for the House of Representatives.[28] In addition, NasDem also nominated Ganjar's name as one of the presidential candidates in its national working meeting, although his nomination was mandated to Anies. Hanura, a non-parliamentary party, also supported Ganjar as a presidential candidate.[29] Hanura became the first supporting party after Ganjar's nomination by PDI-P that gave birth to political cooperation without a coalition.[30] A few days later, the United Development Party (PPP) also endorsed Ganjar.[31] The two parties also collaborated in the legislative election.[32] Afterwards, Perindo also nominated Ganjar amid rumours that his party would join the Great Indonesia Awakening Coalition that would later support Prabowo.[33][34] Long before PDI-P endorsed Ganjar, PSI first named him as its presidential candidate and Yenny Wahid, daughter of former President Abdurrahman Wahid, as its vice president.[35] Later, PSI cancelled its support for Ganjar following its party congress.[36] This came after PDI-P politician Said Abdullah proposed Anies as one of Ganjar's potential running mates.[37] This proposal was ignored by NasDem as the party that led Anies' candidacy.[38]

On 18 October 2023, Ganjar followed Anies in announcing his running mate. Coordinating Minister for Political, Legal, and Security Affairs and former member of the House of Representatives (2004‒2008) and Chief Justice of the Constitutional Court (MK RI) (2008‒2013), Mahfud MD, was announced as the vice presidential candidate for Ganjar, which was announced directly by Megawati.[39] Mahfud had previously been tapped as a running mate for Joko Widodo in 2019 before being replaced by Ma'ruf Amin in the final seconds before the announcement.[40] That day, he had prepared a white shirt in line with Jokowi's symbolic campaign attire. The shirt was eventually worn again during the submission of the vice presidential candidate with Ganjar.[41] The registration of this candidate pair followed Anies-Muhaimin's submission to the KPU on 19 October 2023.[42]

3
2024 Alliance of Parties ticket
Ganjar Pranowo Mahfud MD
for President for Vice President
Governor of Central Java (2013–2023) Coordinating Minister for Political, Legal, and Security Affairs (2019–2024)
Campaign

Endorsements[edit]

Main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Indonesian presidential election

General election[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Prior to joining Joko Widodo's government, Prabowo Subianto was known for being assertive and expressive as a reflection of his previous profession as a soldier. In each of his presidential campaigns, he criticised Jokowi's policies.[43] Likewise, his speeches showed Prabowo's firm stance that positioned himself as part of the opposition to Jokowi.[44] Afterwards, Prabowo appeared more cooperative, given that he was the Minister of Defence in the cabinet and made Jokowi's son and Mayor of Surakarta, Gibran as his deputy.[45] In 2024, they expressed support for Jokowi's policies, including continuing the planning of the Nusantara Capital City as one of the national strategic projects. In his campaign, Prabowo often discussed the programme of distributing food and milk to students.[46] In addition, the "gemoy" (cuddly) phenomenon become a new term for Prabowo's identity.[47]

In 2024, Anies Baswedan became a new rival for Prabowo, who had previously promoted Anies as a candidate for Governor of Jakarta in 2017, just as Jokowi, who was a rival for Prabowo in the two previous presidential elections, had been promoted by Prabowo as a candidate for governor in 2012.[48] Anies was a former cabinet minister who was dismissed by Jokowi in 2016, after which he was supported as a gubernatorial candidate by Jokowi's political opposition.[49] He often criticised government policies in terms of bureaucracy, investment, and corruption, collusion and nepotism.[50] During his presidential campaign, he called for a transformation of central government policies. For example, his food security programme preferred contract farming over food estates, which had been the government's programme.[51] In addition, he accommodated the aspirations of young voters by declaring the "Bawa Idemu Movement" which is a volunteer from the regions to voice their ideas to Anies.[52] Then, in certain forums, he was present to explain the vision and mission by opening discussions with young people.[53]

Ganjar Pranowo pledged to continue Jokowi's development programmes to be continued if elected president.[54] However, he initiated improvements to Jokowi's programmes and promoted a vision of accelerated development.[55] In his campaign, he followed Jokowi's lead by conducting blusukan in traditional markets. In addition, he performed jogging exercises in public, including in Jakarta, in the hopes of achieving greater public recognition.[56] During the campaign, Ganjar used a black shirt as a symbolic outfit in his campaign, while his deputy, Mahfud MD, wore his white shirt that had been prepared in his thwarted vice presidential bid in 2019.[57] Later, Ganjar considered that law enforcement under Jokowi's administration was low.[58]

On 27 November 2023, the KPU declared a peaceful campaign with the presidential and vice presidential candidate pairs and their supporting parties, as well as signing an integrity pact in maintaining safe and peaceful elections.[59] The next day, Anies and Ganjar started their first campaign. Anies gave a speech in Tanah Merah Village, Jakarta,[60] while his deputy Muhaimin Iskandar campaigned in Jombang, East Java, which is the base of Nahdlatul Ulama as well as his birthplace.[61] Unlike Anies, Ganjar implemented a campaign strategy of blusukan in the western and eastern regions of Indonesia. Ganjar started in Merauke, South Papua and Mahfud visited Sabang, Aceh.[62] While the two candidates were campaigning, Prabowo and Gibran chose to stay on duty with their positions.[63] Gibran preceded Prabowo in campaigning on 1 December 2023 in Penjaringan, Jakarta.[64] After that, Prabowo's first campaign was in Tasikmalaya, West Java.[65]

Debates[edit]

Unlike in previous editions, the 2024 presidential and vice-presidential debates were attended by the candidate pairs.[66] Five rounds of debates were held between the candidates, with participants alternating between the presidential and vice presidential candidates. The first round of debates, between the presidential candidates, was held on 12 December 2023. The second round of debates, between their running mates, was held on 22 December 2023. The third round of debates was held on 7 January 2024. The next two rounds were held on 21 January 2024 and 4 February 2024.[67]

The first debate saw three presidential candidates debating law, bureaucracy, and the democratic system. Anies and Muhaimin appeared compactly wearing white shirts with black suits with stickers that read "AMIN" on their chests, Prabowo wore a light blue shirt in the colours of their partner Gibran and had a small pin pinned on his chest,[68] Ganjar appeared wearing a white shirt that read "sat, set", while Mahfud wore a white shirt that read "tas, tes" with a picture of a legal scale on his left chest.[69] During the debate on democracy, Anies and Prabowo clashed. Anies claimed that freedom of speech was still limited.[70] Prabowo responded by dismissing the issue. He insisted that democracy under Jokowi's administration was good, and that it was thanks to the democratic process that Anies could become governor.[71] Anies later replied that Prabowo was considered "unable to stand to be in the opposition camp" as an honourable position.[72] Anies and Ganjar both attacked Prabowo over the Constitutional Court decision allowing Gibran to become his running mate. In response, Prabowo stated that the decision would be left to voters. Prabowo was also questioned over his alleged involvement in the kidnapping of activists in 1997–98.[73]

For the vice presidential candidate debate, the public speculated that the debate was cancelled by the KPU, resulting in misunderstandings among the public.[74][75] Previously, a debate for vice-presidential candidates was held, in which the participants were Ma'ruf Amin and Sandiaga Uno. However, the KPU denied the elimination of the debate for vice-presidential candidates, but it will present candidate pairs in the debate contest, but the participants were between presidential candidates, between vice-presidential candidates, and between candidate pairs.[76][77] Thus, debates followed by vice presidential candidates proceeded in the second and fourth debates. The second debate covered the economy and infrastructure development, especially the development of IKN Nusantara. The debate participants were Muhaimin Iskandar, Gibran Rakabuming Raka and Mahfud MD.

During the debate on 21 January, Gibran Rakabuming was seen making a "ducking" gesture and pretending to search for a lost item in response to an answer from Mahfud MD, which drew mostly negative reactions online for its supposed rudeness.[78]

Timeline[edit]

The list of planned general election schedules is as follows:

Dates Activity
29 July – 14 December 2022 Registration, verification, and determination of election participants
14 October 2022 – 9 February 2023 Determination of the number of seats and determination of constituencies
19–25 October 2023 Presidential and vice presidential registrations
28 November 2023 – 10 February 2024 Election campaign period
11–13 February 2024 Election silence period
14 February 2024 Voting day
14–15 February 2024 Vote counting
15 February – 20 March 2024 Recapitulation of vote counting results
20 October 2024 Inauguration of the president-elect and vice president-elect

The following schedule only takes place in case of a two-round presidential election[79]

Dates Activity
2–22 June 2024 Presidential and vice presidential campaign period
23–25 June 2024 Election silence period
26 June 2024 Voting day
26–27 June 2024 Vote counting
27 June – 20 July 2024 Recapitulation of vote counting results

Opinion polls[edit]

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Indonesian presidential election

Controversies[edit]

Constitutional court and Gibran's candidacy[edit]

The Constitutional Court of Indonesia (MK RI) made a controversial exception, allowing Gibran to run for vice president in the 2024 election.[80] As per the court ruling, candidates under the required age of 40 were eligible to seek the presidency or vice-presidency in the presidential ballot, given a condition that they held elected regional office in the past.[80] Since Gibran, who is the current Mayor of Surakarta, is the son of Joko Widodo, it led to speculation that the President influenced the ruling so that he could continue his legacy. It was also noted that Jokowi's brother-in-law and the Chief Justice of the MK, Anwar Usman, was also involved in the ruling.[81][82] Anwar Usman was ultimately demoted by the Honorary Assembly of the Constitutional Court from the position of Chief Justice on 8 November 2023 after finding him guilty of conflict of interest on the ruling.[83]

The KPU was also criticised for accepting Gibran's registration without following the proper procedures after the ruling from MK. Because of this on 5 February 2024, the Election Organization Ethics Council (DKPP) found that KPU chairman Hasyim Asy'ari, and all six of KPU's commissioners were guilty of an ethics violation for allowing Gibran to register his candidacy before the commission had adjusted the age minimum for candidates in its internal regulation.[84] Hasyim Asy'ari in particular received a "final stern warning" from the DKPP while the other six only received a "stern warning".[84] Hasyim received that particular warning was due to the fact that Hasyim has already collected two stern warnings from DKPP due to ethical breaches committed in March and April 2023.[84]

A lawsuit was filed by the Indonesian Democracy Defenders (TPDI) and the Indonesian Advocates Movement (Perekat Nusantara) against Joko Widodo, Gibran Rakabuming, Anwar Usman and First Lady Iriana alleging nepotism and political dynasty on the part of the respondents, but was dismissed by the Jakarta State Administrative Court a day before the election.[85]

Vice Presidential debate[edit]

Another controversy came from a widely misunderstood announcement of the KPU that the debate between vice presidential candidates would not be held,[86][87] which marked a departure from previous elections where vice presidential candidates did debate each other on more than one occasion.[86] However, the KPU denied the speculation and reiterated that in every debate, both presidential and vice presidential candidates must attend every debate.[88][89] This meant that the debate between vice presidential candidates continued and that they were accompanied by their running mates and vice versa.[88][89][90]

Social media usage and disinformation[edit]

Prabowo Subianto's campaign was noted for its efforts at rehabilitating his image from his association with human rights violations during the dictatorship of former President Suharto into a "cute and cuddly" (gemoy) grandfather figure among the youth, particularly first-time voters, going as far as to make an animated avatar of him on TikTok using artificial intelligence. Anies Baswedan's and Ganjar Pranowo's campaign also used interactive AI chatbots to engage with voters.[91][92][93]

During the campaign, Anies Baswedan was targeted by a deepfake audio recording purportedly showing him being chastised by a political backer in January. Prabowo Subianto's campaign team used AI to depict children in a television advertisement in order to bypass laws prohibiting the appearance of minors in political advertisements.[91]

Golkar, one of the parties supporting Prabowo for president, uploaded a viral AI-generated deepfake video on social media of a simulation of Suharto, who had died in 2008, in which he appeared to urge voters to select the party's candidates in the upcoming election. This led some civil society organizations to urge the KPU to implement regulations on the usage of artificial intelligence.[94]

Allegations of state support[edit]

On 12 February 2024, investigative journalist Dandhy Laksono released a documentary on YouTube directed by him, titled Dirty Vote, alleging that Joko Widodo used state funds to support Prabowo Subianto's campaign, becoming viral within the day and prompting accusations of sabotage by Prabowo's campaign team.[95] The presidential office denied the claims, while protests were held in reaction to the allegations.[96]

Discrepancies in vote-counting[edit]

During the vote-counting, allegations emerged of votes appearing larger on the KPU-generated online application Sirekap (Recapitulation Information System) than what the actual results showed. The General Election Supervisory Agency (Bawaslu) attributed the issue to possible errors on part of the newly founded app, and welcomed an audit into Sirekap.[97] As of 20 February, Sirekap results from 1,223 polling stations were found to be mismatched with actual results.[98]

Preliminary results[edit]

Quick counts[edit]

Official results are expected to be released in March, but quick counts from government-approved tabulators came out shortly after polling stations closed.[92] Initial tallies from Indikator Politik, Kompas, and the Indonesian Survey Circle showed Prabowo Subianto receiving between 53.4 and 59.8 percent of votes cast, followed by Anies Baswedan, who received between 23.11 and 26.39 percent, and Ganjar Pranowo, who received between 16.72 and 17.12 percent.[99]

Official results[edit]

77.56% reporting
CandidateRunning matePartyVotes%
Prabowo SubiantoGibran RakabumingGerindra Party75,037,61958.84
Anies BaswedanMuhaimin Iskandar (PKB)Independent31,188,91724.46
Ganjar PranowoMahfud MDIndonesian Democratic Party of Struggle21,298,21616.70
Total127,524,752100.00
Source: KPU RI

By province[edit]

Votes by province
Total votes
Anies Baswedan
Independent 		Prabowo Subianto
Gerindra 		Ganjar Pranowo
PDI-P
Votes % Votes % Votes %
Sumatra Aceh 1,838,882 75.22 550,768 22.53 55,182 2.26 2,444,832
North Sumatra 1,285,337 28.61 2,655,382 59.86 551,615 12.28 4,492,374
West Sumatra 1,424,903 56.37 1,002,179 39.65 100,749 3.99 2,527,831
Riau 948,588 38.67 1,272,662 51.88 232,070 9.46 2,453,320
Jambi 426,365 24.08 1,152,199 65.07 192,142 10.85 1,770,706
South Sumatra 749,327 18.79 2,773,488 69.56 464,135 11.64 3,986,950
Bengkulu 215,428 18.09 836,962 70.27 138,708 11.65 1,191,098
Lampung 714,567 15.52 3,194,558 69.37 695,661 15.11 4,604,786
Bangka Belitung Islands 166,491 22.44 446,079 60.13 129,226 17.42 741,796
Riau Islands 217,168 32.54 371,697 55.69 78,535 11.77 667,400
Java Banten 1,806,579 33.86 2,997,983 56.18 531,587 9.96 5,336,149
Jakarta 1,877,349 41.07 1,898,046 41.52 796,101 17.41 4,571,496
West Java 6,637,219 31.62 12,279,799 58.50 2,073,228 9.88 20,990,246
Central Java 2,561,403 12.68 10,709,225 53.01 6,930,164 34.31 20,200,792
Yogyakarta 379,440 19.53 986,248 50.76 577,419 29.72 1,943,107
East Java 3,243,712 15.59 13,842,392 66.52 3,724,607 17.90 20,810,711
Kalimantan West Kalimantan 575,932 22.94 1,522,482 60.63 412,573 16.43 2,510,987
Central Kalimantan 192,757 17.14 810,956 72.10 121,014 10.76 1,124,727
South Kalimantan 575,753 36.04 916,504 57.37 105,312 6.59 1,597,569
East Kalimantan 275,240 19.80 963,997 69.36 150,637 10.84 1,389,874
North Kalimantan 59,404 18.11 228,531 69.68 40,037 12.21 327,972
Lesser Sunda Bali 49,626 3.24 810,630 52.86 673,427 43.91 1,533,683
West Nusa Tenggara 671,459 25.88 1,722,474 66.39 200,407 7.72 2,594,340
East Nusa Tenggara 100,529 5.33 1,156,096 61.29 629,740 33.38 1,886,365
Sulawesi North Sulawesi 110,789 7.36 1,132,621 75.28 261,080 17.35 1,504,490
Gorontalo 194,051 29.19 434,782 65.40 36,017 5.42 664,850
Central Sulawesi 301,657 21.75 962,208 69.37 123,137 8.88 1,387,002
Southeast Sulawesi 296,215 23.29 899,159 70.70 76,342 6.00 1,271,716
West Sulawesi 203,678 27.54 479,339 64.80 56,681 7.66 739,698
South Sulawesi 1,600,963 38.15 2,388,955 56.93 206,672 4.92 4,196,590
Maluku Maluku 109,743 19.06 366,008 63.58 99,923 17.09 575,674
North Maluku 122,137 26.71 278,281 60.85 56,897 12.44 457,315
Papua Papua 18,701 10.92 101,053 59.00 51,518 30.08 171,272
West Papua 8,869 11.64 46,142 60.56 21,183 27.80 76,194
Southwest Papua 17,916 14.54 74,671 60.59 30,644 24.87 123,231
Central Papua 5,894 11.31 31,892 61.20 14,352 27.49 52,111
Highland Papua 145 20.00 439 60.55 141 19.45 725
South Papua 5,530 11.31 36,352 70.32 9,810 18.98 51,692
Overseas 94,984 20.19 281,533 59.86 93,834 19.95 470,351
Total 30,084,770 24.37 72,614,772 58.83 20,742,480 16.80 123,442,022
As of 25 February 2024, 13:00 WIB (UTC+7); 76.71% votes counted

Demographics[edit]

The research and development department of Indonesian newspaper Kompas (Litbang Kompas) conducted an exit poll, and released a demographic breakdown based on political preference.

2024 Indonesian presidential election[100]
Social group Anies
(%) 		Prabowo
(%) 		Ganjar
(%) 		No answer
(%) 		Lead
(%)
Gender
Male 21.7 53.6 15.7 9.0 31.9
Female 22.0 55.1 13.4 9.5 33.1
Age
17–25 16.7 65.9 9.6 7.8 49.2
26–33 20.2 59.6 11.7 8.5 39.4
34–41 22.3 54.1 13.9 9.7 31.8
42–55 24.3 49.1 14.0 12.0 24.8
56–74 25.7 43.1 21.3 9.9 17.4
Social class
Lower 19.7 55.9 16.0 8.4 36.2
Lower middle 21.0 55.9 14.4 8.7 34.9
Upper middle 25.3 50.9 11.3 12.5 25.6
Upper 30.4 45.6 15.1 8.9 15.2
Education
Primary 18.8 55.6 17.4 8.2 36.8
Secondary 20.7 57.4 12.3 9.6 36.8
Higher 34.3 41.7 12.6 11.4 7.4
Religion
Islam (Nahdlatul Ulama) 21.8 55.8 12.8 9.5 34.0
Islam (Muhammadiyah) 41.9 41.6 10.6 5.9 0.3
Islam (Others) 30.1 49.5 9.8 10.6 19.4
Catholic 1.7 64.9 29.3 4.1 35.6
Protestant 1.7 56.9 32.9 8.4 24.0
Hindu 0.0 47.5 43.2 9.4 4.3
Other 7.9 50.0 26.3 15.8 23.7

Aftermath[edit]

Following the results of unofficial quick counts, Prabowo claimed victory on the evening of 14 February at an event with his supporters at Istora Senayan in Jakarta, calling it the "the victory of all Indonesians."[101][102] Gibran Rakabuming also expressed thanks to Prabowo for "giving young people a chance."[96] Ganjar Pranowo's campaign team said that they were investigating reports of electoral violations and alleged "structural, systematic and massive fraud" during the voting.[103] Hasto Kristiyanto, the secretary-general of the PDI-P, said that election irregularities were enforced from the top down, beginning with the decision to allow Gibran Rakabuming Raka to run for vice-president. Hamdan Zoelva, a former chef justice of the Constitutional Court and a member of Anies Baswedan's campaign team also said that there were "strong indications that violations occurred in a structured, systematic and massive way in the presidential election".[104] Remarks by independent observers indicated there were "no signs of systemic fraud".[105]

The Jakarta Composite Index on 15 February recorded its sharpest rise in two months as quick count results indicated Prabowo's victory, which analysts attributed to the removal of political uncertainty which would arise from a runoff election. Largest gains were made by banks, Nickel companies, and infrastructure firms.[106]

Protests[edit]

Following the allegations, police said that it would allow peaceful protests.[107] A demonstration was held in front of the Istana Merdeka in Jakarta in protest against Prabowo's claims of victory on 15 February, followed by rallies on 16 February against alleged electoral fraud[108] and Joko Widodo's perceived support for Prabowo at the KPU headquarters.[104] Joko Widodo dismissed the allegations of fraud, saying that evidence for fraud should be brought to Bawaslu and the Constitutional Court.[109]

Analysis[edit]

After the release of quick count results, Lingkaran Survei Indonesia attributed split-ticket voters to the Ganjar-Mahfud tandem's poor performance despite the PDI-P's success in remaining the largest party in the legislature.[110] Notably, Prabowo won the most votes in the traditionally PDI-P supporting provinces of Central Java and Bali.[111] Kompas' exit polls found strong support for Prabowo's candidacy from non-Muslim voters and Nahdlatul Ulama Muslims, winning in 36 of 38 provinces (except for Aceh and West Sumatra, where the Anies-Muhaimin tandem received the most votes).[112] Nahdlatul Ulama-affiliated academic Ulil Abshar Abdalla [id], in a Kompas column, attributed Prabowo's strong performance to Indonesian voters prioritizing the continuation of Jokowi's policies over concerns on legal and ethical violations.[113] Anies-Muhaimin and Ganjar-Mahfud were also defeated in East Java and Central Java, respectively, even though their supporting parties (PKB and PDI-P, respectively) won the most votes in the two provinces.[114]

Reactions[edit]

Domestic[edit]

Outgoing president Joko Widodo stated that he had met and congratulated Prabowo and Gibran on the evening of 14 February, based on quick count results.[115] Former president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono congratulated Prabowo and stated that he "is now his commander".[116]

International[edit]

  •  Australia – Foreign Minister Penny Wong said that the Australian government was looking "forward to working closely with the next president" when he is inaugurated.[93] Prime Minister Anthony Albanese called Prabowo on 15 February, tweeting that he was "the first foreign leader to speak today with Prabowo, who has a clear lead in official and unofficial counts".[117][118] On 23 February, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense Richard Marles personally congratulated Prabowo during his official visit to the Ministry of Defense of Indonesia in Jakarta.[119]
  •  China – Chinese Ambassador to Indonesia Lu Kang visited Prabowo's home on 18 February and personally congratulated him over the election results while expressing hope that "Indonesia and China can grow together, prosper together".[120]
  •  Czech Republic – Prime Minister Petr Fiala congratulated Prabowo on social media and stated "readiness to strengthen bilateral relations".[121]
  •  East Timor – President José Ramos-Horta congratulated Prabowo through a phone call on 19 February.[122]
  •  India – Prime Minister Narendra Modi congratulated the Indonesian people for the successful election and Prabowo for his victory on social media. Modi hoped to be able to work with the new president to strengthen the comprehensive strategic partnership between the two nation.[123]
  •  Malaysia – Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim congratulated Prabowo for his victory in the election in a phone call amongst two leaders.[124]
  •  Netherlands – Prime Minister Mark Rutte congratulated Prabowo following the projected outcome of the elections on social media. He also stated that he is looking forward to continuing to develop the friendship and strong bond between their countries.[125]
  •  Nicaragua – President Daniel Ortega and Vice President Rosario Murillo congratulated Prabowo and hoped to strengthen ties between both countries.[126]
  •  Philippines – President Bongbong Marcos congratulated Prabowo for his commanding lead in the latest electoral count to be Indonesia's next President on social media. He also stated that he looked forward to deepening bilateral ties, especially in the upcoming celebration of 75 years of diplomatic relations between Indonesia and the Philippines.[127]
  •  Russia – President Vladimir Putin congratulated Prabowo on his election win and expressed confidence that Prabowo's administration would contribute to the further development of relations between their countries and strengthening security and stability in the Asia-Pacific region.[128]
  •  Singapore – Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong congratulated Prabowo for his apparent victory, and congratulated Jokowi for the "smooth and successful conduct" of the election.[129]
  •  Sri Lanka – President Ranil Wickremesinghe congratulated Prabowo for his victory in the election through a phone call amongst two leaders.[124]
  •  Thailand – Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin congratulated Prabowo for his victory on social media. He expressed hope to strengthen bilateral relations.[130]
  •  Turkey – President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan delivered a congratulatory message to Prabowo following the elections results and expressed hope that the election results will be auspicious. He also stated that Indonesia and Turkey will further develop their relations. The message was delivered to Prabowo by Turkish Ambassador to Indonesia Talip Küçükcan.[131]
  •  United Arab Emirates – President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan congratulated Prabowo by phone call following the election results.[132]
  •  United Kingdom – Prime Minister Rishi Sunak delivered a congratulatory message to Prabowo on his electoral victory. The message was delivered to Prabowo's home by UK Ambassador to Indonesia Dominic Jermey.[133] Jermey also congratulated "hundreds of thousands of candidates who campaigned across the archipelago" and hailed the election as "a truly epic festival of democracy".[134]
  •  United States – State Department spokesman Matthew Miller congratulated the Indonesian people "for their robust turnout" in the election, calling it "a testament to the durability and strength of the Indonesian people's commitment to the democratic process and electoral institutions".[135] When asked why the White House had yet to congratulate Prabowo on his victory, US National Security Council Communications Advisor John Kirby said a statement would be released at an appropriate time and will respect the will of the Indonesian people.[136]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Includes PDI-P, the United Development Party, the Perindo Party, and the People's Conscience Party.
  2. ^ Includes Gerindra, the Golkar Party, the Democratic Party, the National Mandate Party, the Indonesian Solidarity Party, the Crescent Star Party, the Garuda Party, the Gelora Party, and the Aceh Party.
  3. ^ Includes Nasdem, the National Awakening Party, the Prosperous Justice Party, the Ummah Party, the Aceh Abode Party, the Independent Solidity of the Acehnese Party, and the Aceh Just and Prosperous Party.

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